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VSO Information has discovered the highest underdogs in with a shot of Tremendous Bowl glory for 2024 primarily based on present kind. [Image: Shutterstock.com]
Gameday approaches
NFL conversations round this time of 12 months—with the preseason in wait and gamers gearing up for six months of grueling gamesmanship—are all about which groups, favorites and underdogs, have a shot to win the Tremendous Bowl.
For the reason that 2000 season, Tremendous Bowl-winning groups have had common preseason odds of nearly +1580. That worth can be the seventh-best on the board coming into the 2023 marketing campaign, which begs the query, which underdogs ought to sports activities bettors have a look at to win the Tremendous Bowl subsequent February?
Listed here are our favourite darkish horse picks.
The darkish horses
The Detroit Lions (+2200 to win the Tremendous Bowl at FanDuel Sportsbook) have seen one of many largest jumps in preseason odds from a 12 months in the past to now coming off of a productive 9-8 marketing campaign, however one during which they nonetheless missed the playoffs. The Lions ranked high 5 in scoring offense however allowed the fourth-most factors and most yards within the league.
Detroit is going through the burden of expectations for the primary time in a few years and must show its tradition can stand up to that stress.
Trevor Lawrence confirmed regular enchancment and will enter the top-five QB dialog
The Jacksonville Jaguars (+2800) are additionally excessive on the checklist of Tremendous Bowl underdogs. They received seven of their ultimate 9 video games in 2022, together with a 27-0 comeback within the Wild Card towards the Los Angeles Chargers. Trevor Lawrence confirmed regular enchancment and will enter the top-five QB dialog with one other 12 months of stable play.
What makes the Jags such an fascinating prospect is that they’ve a reliable probability to safe the number-one seed within the AFC. They play within the convention’s best division, the AFC South, and play all of their troublesome non-divisional video games at dwelling.
The Seattle Seahawks even have nice worth so far as Tremendous Bowl underdogs go. They’re +3500 to hoist the Lombardi Trophy however had a top-10 offense final 12 months and beefed up their protection by drafting nook Devon Witherspoon and bringing again standout linebacker Bobby Wagner.
The Denver Broncos at +4500 to win the entire shebang additionally catches the attention. They should get previous the defending champion Kansas Metropolis Chiefs in their very own division however have a Tremendous Bowl-winning head coach and QB duo (Sean Payton and Russell Wilson), together with one of the vital proficient defenses within the league.
Previous Tremendous Bowl underdogs
Solely two occasions within the final ten years has the staff that was favored to win the Tremendous Bowl completed so—each occasions, the New England Patriots have been the staff to tug it off.
Six occasions within the final ten seasons, nonetheless, the Tremendous Bowl winner has been within the high three for odds. For reference, the three favorites coming into the 2023 marketing campaign are the Chiefs (+600), the Philadelphia Eagles (+800), and the Buffalo Payments (+900).
Invoice Belichick’s protection pitched a masterclass in a 20-17 win
The biggest preseason underdog that went on to win the world championship post-2000 was the 2001 New England Patriots. Somewhat-known sixth-round choose and second-year professional named Tom Brady helped information the Pats previous the “Biggest Present on Turf,” the St. Louis Rams, as Invoice Belichick’s protection pitched a masterclass in a 20-17 win.
After that, essentially the most unlikely Tremendous Bowl champion was the 2017 Eagles. They surged by means of the common season due to the MVP-level play of Carson Wentz and nonetheless managed to dominate the playoffs even after Wentz went out in Week 14 with a knee harm, and backup Nick Foles entered the fray.
Foles performed out of his thoughts within the playoffs and was named Tremendous Bowl MVP as he took down Brady and the identical Pats that had been large underdogs at the beginning of the century.
The 2007 New York Giants (+3000), 2000 Baltimore Ravens (+2200), and 2011 Giants (+2200) are the next-biggest preseason underdogs that etched their title into NFL glory with Tremendous Bowl wins.
Regardless of these nice overachievements, the final 5 NFL champs have had brief preseason odds of +884 on common.
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