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5 Christmas NBA betting tendencies to know earlier than the video games get underway on December 25. [Image: Shutterstock.com]
One other yr of NBA on Christmas
The NBA on Christmas Day is a staple within the sports activities fan’s family, however which groups do latest tendencies counsel are value betting on this vacation season?
It’s no enjoyable checking your stocking and ripping open your presents simply to lose out as soon as the video games begin. That’s why we’ve compiled just a few betting tendencies to know for all 5 video games on the NBA Christmas schedule.
Ranging from the highest, right here’s what sports activities bettors have to know earlier than the NBA on Christmas suggestions off.
*All numbers legitimate as of 12/21/23. Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook*
NBA Christmas Betting Traits
Milwaukee Bucks (-3) vs. New York Knicks (+3)
Must know: The over is again in type
For years, the below was the best way to go on Christmas Eve. Nonetheless, the over is now 12-3 on Christmas Day during the last three years and went 5-0 in 2022.
places latest and historic precedent on the facet of the over
The Bucks even have the second-most over hits this season and are 19-8 (70.4%) in its favor. The Knicks, regardless of being a defensive-minded outfit, are 15-12 (55.6%) in favor of the over, which places latest and historic precedent on the facet of the over.
The star gamers for each groups are additionally on hearth coming into the matchup. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard are averaging a mixed 60.4 factors in December, whereas Jalen Brunson and Julius Randle are averaging 52.8 factors.
Golden State Warriors (+4.5) vs. Denver Nuggets (-4.5)
Must know: Defending NBA champions are 5-10 ATS within the final 15 Christmas video games
The Dubs received their Christmas sport final yr, which marked a uncommon occasion during which the defending champs received their Dec. twenty fifth sport. Nonetheless, historical past means that fading the latest Finals winner is definitely a worthwhile strategy.
The Warriors are additionally 3-1 straight up and in opposition to the unfold of their final 4 Christmas video games, whereas Denver is 0-3 ATS on Christmas throughout that span.
The place this will get tough is the Nuggets are considerably higher at residence, and the Warriors are a lot worse on the highway than they’re within the Chase Heart. However don’t kill the messenger, as a result of the tendencies say to roll with the Dubs.
Boston Celtics (+2) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (-2)
Must know: That is essentially the most 50-50 sport of the day
There are many conflicting tendencies to pay attention to on this specific matchup. For instance, the Celtics are 5-3-1 ATS when dealing with the Lakers with LeBron James within the lineup, however they’re solely 12-12-2 ATS as the favourite this season.
the Lakers aren’t nice in opposition to the unfold in any circumstance
Boston, extensively thought-about to be the very best workforce within the league, can also be simply 2-8-2 ATS as an away favourite. The Lakers aren’t nice in opposition to the unfold in any circumstance, however are significantly better at residence.
LeBron is the all-time main scorer on Christmas Day and averaged 38.5 factors over his final two Christmas outings, although he misplaced and didn’t cowl in each. He’s 10-7 straight up, however 1-3 ATS in his final 4 video games on Dec. 25.
Philadelphia 76ers (+1) vs. Miami Warmth (-1)
Must know: Miami owns the Sixers
The Sixers are solely 7-12-1 ATS since Jimmy Butler left the Metropolis of Brotherly Love for South Seaside. Miami lined in 4 of their final 5 conferences, most lately beating Philly by 28 factors as a two-point underdog in April.
Joel Embiid is in the very best stretch of his profession
We’d be remiss to not level out that Joel Embiid is in the very best stretch of his profession. He has recorded 13 straight video games with not less than 30 factors and 10 rebounds and is averaging 41.4 factors and 12.9 rebounds in December.
Will the reigning MVP overpower a well-known foe or fall flat as he often does in opposition to Miami? Solely (a really quick quantity of) time will inform.
Dallas Mavericks (+4) vs. Phoenix Suns (-4)
Must know: This has all of the makings of an in depth sport
The Mavericks’ highway file (9-5) is tied for the very best within the Western Convention. However regardless of their general success, they’re solely 1-4 ATS as a highway underdog.
On the opposite facet, the Suns are 4-8 ATS as a house favourite and appear to play higher on the highway. Each groups have been in motion final Christmas and lined in wins, the Suns in opposition to the Nuggets and the Mavericks in opposition to the Lakers.
There’s additionally an unstated rivalry and bitterness between Devin Booker and Luka Doncic courting again to their conflict within the Western Convention semifinals two years in the past. These are two of the very best offenses in basketball, and the sport ought to come right down to the wire, which often favors the workforce that’s noticed the factors.
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